COMMUNITY.COM
WHAT A COMMUNITY SHOULD
KNOW ABOUT OPPORTUNITIES IN TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Bringing High Bandwidth
to Everyone in the Community
June 28, 2000
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
APPLICATIONS
Telework
or Telecommuting
Call
Centres: Virtual and Web- Enabled
Market
Opportunities and Trends
Workforce
capabilities
Community
capacity and the business process
Call
Centre Attraction Recommendations
Tele-medicine
E-learning
E-Commerce
Digital
Library
Entertainment
& quality of life
EXPERIENCE
OF OTHER FIBRE-TO-THE-HOME PROJECTS
Origins
of FTTH projects
Services
Offered
Lessons
Learned
PATTERNS OF
ADOPTION
Market
Demand
TECHNOLOGY
Fibre
Optics
Hybrid
Technologies, Copper, Coax
Wireless
Technologies
PRICING
Cost
of Technology
REGULATIONS
FINANCING
Financing
a business plan:
Financing
the implementation:
Pre-operational
phase:
Operational
phase:
Post-operational
phase:
APPENDIX 'A':
Definitions and Descriptions
ENDNOTES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This
research paper incorporates the ideas and definitions of several authors
listed in the endnotes. Planned Approach would like to thank and congratulate
these authors for the fabulous work in presenting this information. I
would also like to acknowledge the contributions of Debby Donovan and
Corey Whitehead in performing research and writing some of the sections
relating to e-learning, e-commerce, and the experiences of other fibre-to-the-home
project. Finally, thanks to Communication Spectrum International, Ross
MacPhail and Jim Senyi, for their research on call centres.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Many
high bandwidth projects have been led by 'technical specialists', not
'users'. The roll-out of high bandwidth has been slow because telecommunications
providers are waiting for 'killer applications' or more demand for their
services - they are often hesitant to invest in higher bandwidth to the
home fearing that people will not use the capacity, or will not support
additional cost for higher bandwidth, making it difficult to build a business
case, especially in smaller communities. In some cases, it is easier to
continue business as usual than investigate the market for high bandwidth.
Communities need to lead new telecommunications initiatives by encouraging
telecommunications use, with telecommunications providers becoming partners
rather than leaders in projects.
Communities
concerned with developing themselves economically and diversifying their
economy need to educate themselves on the opportunities made available
through the Internet, how it applies to them, and develop strategies to
use the Internet as tool to increase the number and variety of jobs in
their communities.
The Internet
is an excellent economic development tool, especially for more remote
communities. High bandwidth can provide opportunities in the following
areas:
- Upgrade the skill
level of the population in remote communities through e-learning and
potentially change the economic fabric of the community including decreasing
the youth out-migration;
- Provide services
not currently available in remote communities such as telemedicine,
and remote monitoring;
- Develop and link
tele-workers to larger companies looking for human resources and avoid
leakage;
- Improve e-commerce
activities and generate new services within the community such as in
transportation and information technology;
- Increase entrepreneurship
by educating citizens on internet-based service provision and identifying
new business examples that can be developed through the Internet or
as a result of expanding local activities on the Internet.
Remote
communities need to get in the game and a toolkit may provide some basic
information that will encourage communities to get involved. An increased
involvement may in turn encourage more bandwidth-hungry applications and
the upgrading of local infrastructures. Champions could be local economic
development corporations, municipal governments, or a local Chamber of
Commerce. This paper will provide a 'sample toolkit' providing some basic
explanations and the activities that should be undertaken to begin the
communities' involvement in the telecommunications sector.
INTRODUCTION
"The
death of distance as a determinant of the cost of communicating will probably
be the single most important force shaping society in the first half of
the next century. Technological change has the power to revolutionize
the way people live, and this one will be no exception. It will alter,
in ways that are only dimly imaginable, decisions about where people work
and what kind of work they do, concepts of national borders and sovereignty,
and patterns of international trade. Its effect may well be as pervasive
as those of the discovery of electricity, which led in time to the creation
of the skyscraper cities of Manhattan and Hong Kong and transformed labour
productivity in the home." (1)
Economic
developers have an opportunity to utilize this new economic tool to develop
their communities. This paper will explain how the technology works and
why it is an important tool for the future development of communities,
especially remote and rural areas.
Today,
the service which attracts the most attention is the Internet and the
World Wide Web (WWW). The Internet is a world where distance does not
affect the price of communication - an inexpensive way to communicate.
The Internet is a series of networks which has grown from the US Department
of Defence and several universities which wanted to share information.
The WWW, developed in 1989, brings multimedia to the Internet. It allows
the display of colourful pictures, music, moving images, as well as text
and data. The result of the WWW makes the Internet much more fun to use
and look at, or richer in content. (2)
However, richer content will require larger bandwidth than the common
28.8 or 56.6 kbits/s of today's modems.(3)
' The user needs an appropriate access device (high speed network using
fibre, wireless, or other technology) to browse the information and invoke
the functionality on the network. In other words, to fully benefit from
what is currently available on the Web and what will be available in the
future, much higher speeds are required.
In order
to use the Internet, people have two choices:
- Use a line leased
from a telephone company or an Internet Service Provider (ISP). Customers
are purchasing a set amount of time and the charge remains the same.
The telephone company or ISP are banking that they can use their bandwidth
to its maximum capacity and the customer may not be guaranteed that
the communication will take place immediately if the bandwidth is shared,
making the service cheaper than if the customer had a dedicated communication
line.
- Dial up to the
Internet from a modem, which means dialling their local ISP and the
Internet connection is carried on a leased line for which they pay a
subscription fee to the ISP.
The Internet
is becoming cheaper. Retailers are recognizing that they can attract more
sales if more people are using the Internet. Three of the biggest retailers
have announced deals with major Internet Service Providers (ISPs) to provide
Internet access services at either very low or no cost. Kmart is linking
with Yahoo to provide free Net access through a new ISP called BlueLight.com
and America Online has inked deals with both Circuit City and Wal-Mart
to provide 'stripped-down' Internet access. Jupiter Communications predicts
that the number of US households accessing the Web for free will rise
from 1.5 million today, to as many as 8.8 million by 2003. And while most
analysts say major ISPs aren't threatened by the new trend, some smaller
ISPs are moving away from the subscription-based business model in favour
or one based on advertising revenues, commerce, and financial services.
(4)
The number
of PCs worldwide will exceed 100 million units in 2000. The poor bit rates
and large delay times in the Internet and the World Wide Web (WWW) are
the sources of many complaints. Most users are currently connecting with
a modem at 28 or 56 kilobits per second. Those who have cable modems are
connecting at higher speeds of up to 1 megabit or 1000 kilobits per second.
The following table demonstrates the types of applications and their minimum
and suitable bit rates for upstream (receiving information) and downstream
(sending information) data transmission. The quality and content of an
application running either at the minimum data rate or at a suitable data
rate will be remarkably different. As an example, an electronic newspaper
operating at 2000 kilobits/second (2 Mbit/s) integrates real-time streaming
video and audio, and real-time block-transfer of other media such as pictures,
text, and graphics. This is an attractive alternative for newspaper and
for TV news since it composes with various media and adds interactivity.
The same application at 28 kbps suffers from considerable delay time and
does not allow the transmission of real-time streaming audio and video.
The user might be disappointed by this kind of service. Downloading a
film using a 56 kbps modem could take 8 hours, while over a broadband
connection, only half an hour.

(5)
Future
services and applications will require a faster technology especially
bandwidth intensive applications like on-demand video (download an entire
video to your set top box), or videophones with full screen full motion
video. In addition, there will be more requirements from future office
tele-workers (employees who are working outside the conventional office).
Their requirements will include improved sound, the ability to send and
receive videos, large data files, and the ability to quickly download
software to their home computer. Subscription gaming sites will grow and
benefit from the ability to stream multimedia content - with increased
graphics-processing power in the near future, all kinds of simulations
and games featuring richer detail and more realistic modelling.(6)
The next generation of Internet telephony applications will allow users
to make calls using a standard telephone and a centralized Internet connection,
with the Internet substituting for the Public Switched Network (PSTN).
(7)
Most
facilities in the ISP industry are constructing long distance networks
and are hoping that local Telco's (telephone companies) and cable providers
will eventually produce a solution for high-speed local digital service
to the home. Local telephone companies, cable companies, and other providers
need to be encouraged and enticed by municipalities to make the move toward
higher bandwidth to the home.
High
bandwidth access has been increasingly provided to the business community
and public sector organizations but the move to provide this service to
the home has been slow. Banks were among the first in the e-commerce race
to require high bandwidth to move financial information worldwide. Larger
corporations have demanded higher bandwidth to conduct business with their
suppliers (business-to-business or B2B). Many smaller retailers are now
following suit, providing catalogues of their services and selling their
products to consumer (business to consumer or B2C) located throughout
the world. The public sector has also been using high bandwidth to test
tele-medicine (provision of health services at a distance), e-learning
(provision of educational programs at a distance), and to move information
between government offices (government-to-government or G2G), or to allow
consumers to use government information (government to consumer or G2C).
The next wave is the provision of high bandwidth to the home, allowing
people to access all these services from the comfort of their living room,
and allowing people to start new businesses from their home office.
Benefits
of high bandwidth to the home:
- New Ways to Work:
telecommuting, even for high-bandwidth tasks. Internet-based businesses
can be started in any home and in any Town. Disabled or homebound residents
can work from home. People can stop commuting to work, decreasing traffic
and parking problems.
- New Services: education
and research is provided with live classes from anywhere. Library is
accessible from the home. Medical practitioners can make 'house calls'
without leaving their office. Entertainment is available when needed
- people need not wait for the program they want to see.
- Better Communications:
within the community, between homes and employers, worldwide. Better
quality as well as quantity. Fast in both directions, people can be
providers, not just consumers.
Many
people talk about the benefits of the Internet but there is still a large
problem: many people still don't know how to use it, and many communities
are still not using the Internet for economic development. The first
step in ensuring that the Internet is used in the community is to provide
applications people can use. Approximately half of the Canadian population
use the Internet according to a study performed by Angus Reid. If we want
more people to use it, they need help to understand how it can be of use
to them.
APPLICATIONS
What
the Internet does best:
- Electronic mail:
sending messages, files, forms, paying electronic bills.
- Finding information:
making more information available for free in the public domain.
- Telephony: using
the Internet costs a fraction of the price of a long distance telephone
call. The sound is not yet perfect and a digital telephone system is
required, however, this service will grow in the future. Currently,
students living away from home are using it heavily.
- Personalized broadcasting:
a low-cost way to deliver a new sort of cable television (viewers chose
what they want to receive: channels and programs). Many people are receiving
‘web casting’, or live video pictures on the WWW (some are conferences
broadcasted live or taped over the internet but it could be any television
program or entertainment including a play or opera). ‘PointCast’ flashes
video advertisement to users on particular subjects of interest (for
example, you could chose to receive only car advertisements).
There are a great
number of potential uses or applications for the Internet and the WWW,
all requiring faster speeds than currently available to the home. The
following is a list of applications which may be promoted and developed
in a community:
- Telework: working
from home for an employer located in another region, running a home-based-business
selling goods and services to a region or the world, working from a
subsidiary office for an employer located in another region.
- Call centres: a
wired community could attract more call centres, and a virtual call
centre project with employees working from home would have a competitive
advantage over other locations offering standard service.
- Tele-medicine or
tele-health: receiving health information or a consultation through
a videoconference system, sending patient data to a specialist over
the Internet for an opinion or assessment.
- Tele-education
or e-learning: attending a college, university, or training program
from home or a community classroom connected to any number of educational
institutions. Attending a conference or a one-on-one training session
from home or the office, while the trainer or conference is located
in another region.
- Virtual libraries:
the ability to browse through any library in the world, download books
or articles, reserve and order books, talk to a librarian on-line from
home, download a video available at the library.
- E-commerce: doing
business on the Internet by developing a site where consumer can shop,
pay bills, obtain information, register for a class, book a hotel room,
etc.
- Entertainment:
receive videos, music, games, or other forms of entertainment from the
Internet to your home computer.
- IP Telephony: make
telephone calls, with or without video (still or moving picture of the
person you are calling), from a computer, through the Internet (avoiding
long distance charges).
- Software access,
data storage: allowing users to download a number of software from the
Internet, sometimes free of charge. Allowing users to use a central
memory located in another part of the world to store large files on
a rental basis.
These applications
may use one or more of the following technologies:
- Digital video:
largest potential user of bandwidth. A video is created with a computer
instead of a film camera then sent over the Internet to the home user.
The video is compressed using standards ranging from H.263 to MPEG-2
and can use from 56 kbit/s to 20 Mbit/s.
- Digital audio and
speech coding: music or voice is coded into the computer and sent over
the Web. New audio standards such as Dolby or Sound Blaster Live enable
more lifelike 3-D sound, which requires high transmission capacity.
- MPEG-4: standard
for coding audio-visual objects and will enable a whole spectrum of
new or improved application including audio-/visual broadcasting, interactive
mobile multimedia communications, videophone, videoconference, multimedia
videotext, games, interactive computer imagery, sign language captioning,
text-to-speech. Needs up to 15 Mbits/s for broadcast applications.
- VoIP: voice over
IP is a generic term that provides a telephone service over the Internet.
It has not taken off because delays exceeding 250 milliseconds are unacceptable
for quality performed of a telephone service and new technology must
be provided to the consumer to transform an analogue signal into a digital
signal. Many people are using this service today on the Internet to
save long distance costs regardless of the quality of the call. (8)
Telework or Telecommuting
“Companies will be
able to build new links not just with customers, but with employees in
different parts of the country - or around the world. Employees in different
countries or region will be able to work together in teams on the same
project. But a bigger consequence will be the reduction in the size of
firms in many industries. Computers and communications will allow companies
to become networks of independent workers, specializing in what they do
best and buying in everything else. Employees will, therefore, often work
in smaller units or on their own.” (9)
The result of this
outlook by Cairncross is
- More companies
will be willing to locate in areas where they can get the best bargain
in skills and productivity
- More people will
work from their home or from multi-purpose small offices
- Companies will
look for individuals interested in selling their services over the Internet
since they can buy as little or as much as they need without having
to hire people full-time
- New businesses
will spring up to identify what customers need and ways to provide it.
These will be suppliers providing services to one customer or many customers.
“Initially, teleworking
jobs will be concentrated in large units. A bank no longer needs as many
small branches once people can do more of their banking by telephone and
by other electronic means; a travel agent no longer needs as many people
in local offices. Such activities can be handled by a single call centre,
which does not need to be located in a particular city. The activity becomes
centralized, but the place of work can be decentralized. Some teleworkers
will work from home. Various experiments have found a number of benefits
in working from home. Foremost is more job satisfaction and lower stress…Tele-cottages
may offer a solution to problems of cost and maintenance: these offices
will spring up in many small towns, allowing a group of people to share
high-quality communications facilities in one building. This will have
the added benefit of overcoming the sense of isolation that some home
workers feel.” (10)
Teleworkers use e-mail,
phone and fax to keep in touch with employers and customers, and teleworking
methods can be applied to any person whose job allows them to communicate
and share information digitally. ‘Telecommuting is the partial or total
substitution of telecommunications technology for the trip to and from
the primary workplace along with the associated changes in policy, organization,
management, and word structure. Simply put, it’s moving the work to the
workers, instead of the workers to work. Computers, cellular phones, fax,
and advanced communications links such as ISDN and dial-up access have
removed the physical barriers that once required workers to be in their
offices.’ (11)
There are three different types of telecommuting:
- Work at home: employee
designates workspace at home to conduct business functions.
- Satellite office:
remote office locations designated by the company to reduce time and
expense of commuting.
- Neighbourhood work
centre: workers of different companies are housed under one location
and share the expenses of an office.
To the company, the
benefits are:
- Recruiting: extends
the geographic boundaries, makes the company more attractive with new
and flexible work structures.
- Employee retention:
accommodates dependent care responsibilities, saves recruiting and training
costs, flexible alternatives to relocation.
- Office space cost.
- Productivity:
increases by 10-30%.
- Absenteeism: reduces
travel and geographic barriers, employee’s benefit mentally and emotionally.
- Environmental &
emergency: reduces pollution, traffic congestion, and increases emergency
effectiveness.
Work can be carried
out wherever the appropriate skills are available at the optimum mix of
costs and other factors. In some circumstances, recruitment costs can
also be reduced, as can the costs associated with high staff turnover
(attrition) rates. Staff can be on ‘standby’ time at home at retainer
rates and then paid at higher rates when needed for active work. Teams
with the best skills and experience for a particular project can be created,
regardless of geography and time zones and with a minimum need for extra
travel.
“Telework can enable
people in an area of high unemployment to have access to work opportunities
that arise anywhere worldwide. To take advantage of this, either the individual
must have skills that are in high demand plus well developed personal
skills in electronic networking that will bring their competence to the
attention of appropriate employers, or the local community must take
steps to establish itself with a high profile on the networks so that
‘distance working’ opportunities are generated for local people.”
(12)Telework
can also enable access to work, training and social interaction for people
who have specific problems; for example, those with disabilities or single
parents who need to be at home for the children.
Selection of telecommuters
must be based on:
- Supervision and
feedback: some work must be able to be done at home without feedback
or approval.
- Social interaction:
people need to keep in contact with others by phone, e-mail, or other
means.
- Organization and
time management skills: the employee must be organized to keep focussed
on work.
- Self-motivation:
workers must develop regular routines and set deadlines for completion
of work. Successful telecommuters are people who can reward themselves
for being productive.
- Performance: workers
should be good performers.
- Tenure: employees
who have been on-the-job a long time are naturally more familiar with
their tasks as well as their co-workers and more likely to need less
assistance or input.
- Employee status:
a telecommuter should be a full-time rather than temporary employee.
(13)
Nortel
Networks already has about 600 participants in Britain and Ireland and
is attracting new staff recruits at the rate of ten a week. The eventual
aim is to make teleworking a major element of the company’s practice throughout
Europe. In 1998, the company had over 4000 teleworking employees 40% were
full-time and no longer retained traditional offices on Nortel premises
and 60% were part-time. Their telecommuters reported 10% higher employee
satisfaction ratings and 20% higher productivity than the general Nortel
Networks population. In theory, about 20% of its employees (or over 15000)
are seen as potentially able to telework. Nortel installs high-speed routers
at the employee’s home office connecting phone, fax and personal computer
to the public network through ISDN, and bridges team members regularly
so they can share ideas and chat informally among each other. (14)
According
to the US Department of Labour, the computer and data processing industry
tops the list for growth in the coming decade at a 117% growth rate. The
fastest growing occupations are (growth forecasted between 1998 and 2008):
computer engineers (108%), computer support specialists (102%), systems
analysts (94%), database administrators (77%), and desktop publishing
specialists (73%). (15)
The next
phase of the community.com project will need to identify the skills available
in the community and the companies interested in hiring teleworkers.
Call Centres: Virtual and Web- Enabled
In assessing
the potential for call centre and telework opportunities for the community,
we need to focus on:
- Market opportunities
and trends
- Workforce capabilities
- Community capacity
and capabilities
- Business Decision
Processes
Market Opportunities and Trends
The global marketplace
has created incredible opportunities and challenges for private and public
organizations. Organizations are looking for methods to manage customer
relationships in the most cost efficient manner without jeopardizing quality
in service. New technologies are providing opportunities to control costs
while improving customer service. These new technologies are creating
incredible opportunities for business, communities looking for new job
opportunities, and individuals seeking careers. The current and emerging
channels for managing customer relationships include:
Call Centres
- centralized centres designed to provide resource to a private or public
organization offering one or more of the following to customers:
- Provide general
information
- Buy or place an
order
- Book/schedule
a call, visit, trip, appointment
- Receive personal
information
- Place a complaint
- Secure or discontinue
a service
- Make changes to
current arrangement/services/policies
- Sell products and
services
- Affect repairs
or changes to software, equipment, etc.
Virtual Call Centres
- home-based call centre operator services
Virtual call centres
are defined as a number of representatives in geographically separate
locations being treated as a single entity for the purposes of providing
services to customers/callers. These services include but are not exclusive
to call/inquiry handling, transaction handling, reporting, scheduling
and managing. These representatives may be located at home, at a remote
office, at a telecottage or in an individual call centre. The virtual
call centre is seamless to the consumer so that geographically dispersed
representatives appear as a single unit. Calls can be routed on a basis
of skills and/or availability. This is critical when a central call centre
is experiencing call-overload or requires skills and knowledge not available
in the central location.
Outsourcing Market:
Outsourcing is continuing
to grow in popularity. A company may sub-contract part of its operation
to another company. Traditionally telemarketing firms have dominated the
outsourcing market. Inbound customer service is the largest horizontal
application for outsourcers with 41% of total outsourcing activity. Datamonitor
report - Opportunities in European Call Center Outsourcing
Web-Integrated
Call Centres
As the customer culture
shifts towards electronic communication media, businesses need to provide
new multi media channels of contact. While e-commerce is providing exciting
tools, it is also creating confusion and concern. Customers often find
sites technologically exciting but lacking in service. Organizations recognize
that customers are only a click away from the competition or simply giving
up. Providing an added touch to a web page by providing ‘concierge services’
or information attendants’ is a solution through web-integrated call centres.
These centre provide the human touch to electronic service.
Web - integrated call
centres have the potential to unlock online opportunities and revolutionize
direct contact performance. They are ideally suited to handle help desk
and sales order functions.
What does all this
mean? The call centre business is growing and will continue to grow at
an incredible rate. Consider:
- In 1998 there were
58,000 outsourced agent positions in the European call centre market.
By 2003 there will be 127,000 outsourced agent positions in Europe.
- Call centre outsourcing
market in Europe is currently worth $7 billion US with expectations
it will grow to $15.1 billion US in 2003
- In Europe in 1998
there were 180 call centres as part of a call centre. That will grow
to 1,230 call centres in 2003.
- The US will see
an increase in centres, that will be part of a call centre, from 2,340
in 1998 to 8,970 in 2003.
- There will be
a total of 3,650 virtual call centres in Europe and the USA by 2003.
- Of a predicted
17,900 call centres in Europe in 2003, 3,400 are set to be Web-Integrated.
(16)
Workforce capabilities
High turn over rates
for telemarketers and customers, and an over-capacity in the production
environment causes firms to focus on getting someone else to make calls
and sell their products/services on their behalf. This is often referred
to as ‘out-bound’ call centres where the telemarketer calls a potential
client to sell products or services. It is more difficult to retain people
in out-bound call centres because not everyone likes to sell products
and many do not accept rejection.
Communities often
look for the ‘in-bound’ call centre, where the client calls in to obtain
information on a product or a service, as a more favourable call centre.
Operators are usually a little more skilled, and wages are usually a little
better. However, if the ‘in-bound’ call centre is focussed on receiving
complaints, the call centre operator’s job may not be better than the
‘out-bound’ call centre.
Availability of skills
and a customer-oriented workforce is one of the key criteria in assessing
the viability of an in-bound call centre location. Telemarketing firms
are also looking for skilled representatives with sales orientation.
Communication Spectrum
International (CSI) review workforce interest and capabilities and sometimes
begin with an information session on the call centre industry and its
opportunities. This session was designed to ascertain the number of individuals
interested and to do a preliminary assessment of their capabilities. The
information session provides an opportunity to gauge interest and the
potential opportunities and barriers. Community surveys and other methods
may follow to gauge interest and capabilities.
Barriers
to attract call centres in a small community
One of the barriers
to encouraging local residents to work in a call centre can be the perception
left by other call centres. Outbound call centres, with their high staff
turn- over, and their recruitment methods, can create a negative attitude
towards call centres. Organizations that are looking to set up a call
centre want a workforce and community excited about the opportunity. They
want to be a key business in the community. This makes it easier to attract
and keep representatives. If representatives are negative, they are likely
going to create a negative perception with their customers
Opportunities
to attract call centres in small communities
One of
the keys to success is a highly bilingual workforce. Another asset may
be good computer and basic business skills of people.
Community capacity and the business process
Locations
that have been very successful in attracting a call centre make it easy
for investors to establish their business in their Town. They have:
- A team in place
- Industry-specific
marketing/collateral materials
- An individual who
drives the process and is accountable
- A passion for
making it successful
- Telecommunication
infrastructure and details on technology available for call centres
- A call centre
proposal format and process that is aligned to the prospects needs
- A business process
designed to ensure a simple and efficient execution of all phases of
the decision making process
- Call centre knowledge
and skills
- Speed of execution
- Funding requirements
defined and the process to execute this quickly and efficiently
Decision makers in
organizations will have, for the most part, well defined decision- making
criteria for a location (for example, a minimum population level, a bilingual
population, a maximum long distance rate, etc.). If the basics are not
in place, call centre decision-makers will never take it beyond the initial
stages in a community.
While there is a desire
and passion to bring a call centre to a small community, there are still
major gaps. If an interested and motivated organization decided to assess
the community as a potential location, the results would most likely be
less than favourable if the right tools and actions are not in place.
There is a need to develop the right tools, processes and people to ensure
every opportunity for success. Simply getting a number of organizations
to consider the community will create a great deal of work with little
or no chance of success. Too many failures will create the wrong perception
in the community and the marketplace.
Long distance costs
may create a barrier especially if a call centre is routing calls from
the international locations.
Given Canada’s multilingual,
educated workforce, communities with language skills and located in a
central time zone may be well positioned to be a predominant international
call centre location. At this stage, work is required to create a positive
perception in the community and to potential call centres.
Call Centre Attraction Recommendations
Attracting call centres
has become a fiercely competitive business. Communities all over the world
are conducting sales and marketing campaigns. Ireland has become known
as the Celtic Tiger. South Africa is one of the fastest growing locations
for call centres. If smaller communities expect to compete in this marketplace,
CSI recommends that the following steps be considered.
- The establishment
of a community taskforce including an expert on telephony infrastructure,
a member of the Town Council, business community representation, representation
from a Consultant with good community experience and knowledge in the
telecommunications economy.
- Development/enhancement
and implementation of a call centre attraction and marketing plan including
collateral materials (marketing materials, workforce capability reports,
facility availability, etc.).
- Development/enhancement
of an attraction/implementation process that defines every step, and
requisite accountability from initial contact through to opening ceremonies
and follow up support. Make sure that the right people and processes
are in place to make it so easy to do business with and in the community.
- A Consulting firm
providing lead generation and sales cycle executions on an as needed
basis.
- Development of
a process to accelerate any funding applications.
Tele-medicine
The use of telemedicine
allows for maximum utilization of limited resources - a distant emergency
department can get immediate assistance from an orthopaedic surgeon. The
linking of health centres, medical departments, and remote clinics has
proven to be a cost-effective way to maintain quality health care across
a distributed health care system and to the most rural and remote communities.
Second opinion consultation, a means by which physicians based at one
site can obtain consultations from experts at other sites, allows patient
care to improve and physicians to learn from one another.
Teleconferencing capability
allows medical education with any expert worldwide. “Physicians are often
placed in a precarious situation when a distant health care worker calls
by telephone to ask ‘a couple of quick questions’ about a patient. Many
of these calls result in unnecessary patient referrals and transports
because the specialist remains uncertain of the true condition of the
patient. By linking the referring clinician and the specialist through
video conferencing, the guesswork is taken out of many of these cases.”
(17)
Telemedicine utilizes
information and telecommunications technology to transfer medical information
for diagnosis, therapy, and education. The information may include medical
images, live two-way audio and video, patient medical records, output
data from medical devises and sound files. The telemedical interaction
may involve two-way live audio and video visits between patients and medical
professionals, sending patient monitoring data from the home to a clinic
or transmitting a patient medical file from a primary care provider to
a specialist. The growth of telemedicine over the next five to ten years
may have a profound and revolutionary effect on the delivery of medical
care throughout the world. Hub and spoke systems are now linking into
broader networks, expanding their reach and effectiveness. (18)
The promise of telemedicine
is providing significantly improved and cost-effective access to quality
health care. The potential of telemedicine is helping to transform the
delivery of health care and improve the health of millions of people throughout
the world. Successful telemedicine programs support clinical activities,
distance learning, and continuing medical education programs. Because
of a severe shortage of healthcare professionals throughout rural areas
there is clearly a need for this type of network and its services. In
the future, the following applications of telemedicine will be a focal
point:
- Telemedicine as
an export service: for communities rich in medical services, they will
be able to sell their expertise to rural and more remote areas.
- Homecare: with
the aging population, tele-homecare has one of the greatest potential
for rapid growth worldwide. The home monitoring industry has developed
electronic and telecommunication equipment which enables medical care
to be provided using telemedicine techniques rather than relying on
in-person care to patients in their home.
- Internet: will
become the vehicle for the delivery of medical care in the next five
years providing consultations, diagnoses, treatment and delivery of
prescription medications all on-line usually with the consumer paying
for the services by credit card. (19)
Telemedicine uses
a variety of technologies including ISDN, T1, ATM, DSL, Satellite, Microware,
digital wireless, local wireline, and the Internet. For remote patient
monitoring, the cost of some monitors is now less than US$300 each, but
transmission cost is an issue. Medical specialists in dermatology, oncology,
radiology, surgery, cardiology, and mental health are starting to use
telemedicine extensively for the following:
- Tele-radiology
(mostly in-hospital use)
- Patient monitoring
(mostly at home use)
- Correctional care
- Service provisions
to remote communities
The leading applications
today are:
- Psychiatry
- Emergency Medicine
and Trauma Care
- Dermatology
- Cardiology
- Surgery: connecting
a colleague or mentor during an operation
- Pathology
- Medical education
There are at least
three good opportunities for home tele-health:
- Provide more services
more frequently than is possible using conventional visits;
- Help patients,
through frequent reiterations of routine needs and reminders, learn
how to better self-manage after they are discharged from home care and
are on their own. The patients, by undertaking more and informed self-management
routines will have become part of the solution for financing their home
health care;
- Deliver a range
of services through tools that are simple, inexpensive, and familiar
to the patient. A touchtone telephone may be the highest tech piece
of equipment required for telehealth contact. (20)
LifeChart.com is an
example of medical programs offered to the home. A medical-monitoring
system lets subscribers take readings on a monitoring device and upload
results via a phone line to a confidential database. Caregivers and medical
personnel can access the information via a password-protected, secure
Web interface and immediately view the effects of medications and track
their performance. The online medical-monitoring services will let patients
and caregivers actively manage an illness and gain a more precise picture
of a patient’s health. In California, about 5000 individuals pay $10 each
month to monitor diabetes, heart and lung conditions. Companies review
patient data and if it indicates that someone is at risk, alert the doctor,
caregiver, or patient via fax or e-mail. LifeMasters uses the web. Patients
enter their data online and get personalized health information from doctors
and nurses. This information can be passed on to regular caregiver and
doctors with the patient’s permission. A nurse makes regular contact with
the patient by phone or e-mail and outside of this, if a problem is detected,
the monitoring nurse receives an automatic computer alert. The nurse then
contacts the patient to discuss his/her condition. “Say you have an aging
diabetic mother in Florida and you can’t check in with her daily, online
monitoring eases worry all around”. Most people are likely to hear about
innovations from their health care provider and medical institutions need
to sell these services to doctors and their staff. (21)
E-learning
Think of what it could
mean if students (young and old), could remain in their community and
obtain college and university programs. E-learning will be an important
tool to quench the out-migration of youth toward larger centres. It will
not stop it, as young people still want to get away from their families
for a while; however, some cannot afford to leave, and others are not
ready. Given the strong influx of youth forecasted to enter our colleges
and universities until 2010, e-learning will become a way to manage the
large numbers needing post-secondary and graduate programs.
A recent government
study in the USA of 1601 colleges and universities and other post- secondary
institutions indicated that 34% of institutions offered distance education
in 1997/98 and another 20% were looking at offering it within the next
3 years. By 2000/2001, more than half the schools in the US intend on
having distance education. Between 1995 and 1998, the number of courses
offered doubled from 25,730 to 52,270 and most of these courses where
college-level and offered credit. Enrolment also grew from 753,640 in
1994/95 to 1.6 million in 1997/98. 82% of schools that offer or soon plan
to offer distance education said they intend to provide classes primarily
through ‘asynchronous’ Internet instruction, meaning through e-mail and
the Web. The second most popular method, cited by 61% of schools, was
a two-way video link. Close behind at 60% was ‘synchronous’ or real time
instruction over the Internet, using technology like online chats. (22)
Several new knowledge
ventures are uniting some of the most prestigious universities and cultural
institutions world wide to address the greatest challenges in distance
learning. Fathom is working on the development of a new category of knowledge
on the Internet: "E2C" or "Education to Consumer". Fathom will offer its
courses as well as courses from other colleges and universities. It will
extend beyond traditional course by integrating content from museum exhibitions,
lectures, reference books, interviews and documents. The site will feature
'knowledge creators' -- curators, researchers and professors who carry
expertise from 'world-renowned institutions that carry ‘instant credibility'.
A select Council of academics, to ensure that it meets academic and editorial
integrity standards, will authenticate all original content on the site.
While much of the site will be available at no charge, some courses and
books will be made accessible for a fee.
Another example is
the University of Maryland with campus-free bachelor’s degrees in a number
of subjects. Most universities are experimenting with distance learning
or figuring out how to get into the exploding field. Meanwhile, billionaire
Michael Saylor donated $100 million toward an ‘Ivy League-quality’ on-line
education system that would include lectures from the world’s geniuses
and leaders videotaped and made available through a non-profit university
acting as a ‘cyber Library of Congress’. (23)
Athabasca University
in Alberta has established itself as a front-runner in delivering distance
programs. Their courses are accessible through the Internet in the disciplines
of health, technology and business. The varieties and options are increasing
on an ongoing basis. Athabasca also partners with the University of Quebec,
which offers on-line programs through its Télé-Université. Canadian universities
have formed an alliance to improve their delivery of courses and programs
on the Internet.
Colleges and universities
have had a push on wiring dorms and providing 10 Mbps access to students.
The students are using connections for music files, instant messaging,
toll-free phone calls, e-commerce, games, and digital movies. The students
are finding it difficult to revert back to slower connections. This may
become a ‘quality of life’ issue for communities looking at attracting
young people. Although about 2 million households now have high-speed
Internet connections, about 7 million college students now have high-speed
access through their schools, according to Jupiter Communications. School
administrators say students often base housing decisions on Ethernet availability,
and incoming freshmen sometimes decide whether to attend a school based
on high-speed access. (24)
E-Commerce
Online commerce, referred
to as e-commerce or e-business, is a unique way of doing business on the
Internet. With E-commerce, companies can conduct business through the
Internet 24-hour per day, 365 days per year. E-commerce allows a company
to display its products and services on the Internet as well as perform
related financial transactions. It enables companies to be more efficient
and flexible in their internal operations, to work more closely with their
suppliers, and to be more responsive to the needs and expectations of
their customers. It allows companies to select the best suppliers regardless
of their geographic locations and to sell to a global market.
The majority of companies
recognize that in today's competitive world of business, a site on the
World Wide Web can be a valuable way to boost sales, enhance customer
service and market to prospective customers.
Every financial transaction
at some point turns into an electronic process - the sooner it does, the
more cost effective the transaction is. Automation saves the businessperson
valuable time, and time saved for business allows for an increased number
of transactions and increased profits.
E-commerce provides
the mechanism for buyers and sellers to do business. Very simply, sellers
post the description of the products / services they are wanting to sell,
including specifications such as pricing, shipping information, graphic
or picture of the items. Potential buyers search the many sites and postings
and make contact with the seller. E-commerce facilitates bringing buyers
and sellers together.
Today, E-commerce
is being used in everyday life, and yet many people fail to recognize
this: a credit card authorization, travel reservations through agencies,
wire funds, retail Point of Sale terminals, electronic banking, centralized
payroll processing are all examples of e-commerce.
E-commerce for private
sector essentially has at least two facets: Business to Consumer (B2C)
and Business-to-Business (B2B). B2C are consumer oriented retail service/product
transactions while B2B consist of transactions between businesses (wholesale
market).
B2B is an extremely
diversified field and can take many forms. A practical example: the purchasing
department of a company can post its requirements online, with an extended
forecast on their possible future purchases. This would enable all the
suppliers who visit their web site to bid on the firm's purchasing requirements
thereby creating more competitive / lower prices.
B2B e-commerce has
already surpassed the business to consumer market by a long shot. Annual
B2B e-commerce is projected to soar from $43 billion in 1998 to $1 trillion
by 2003. According to Forrester Research - it was virtually a $0 business
in 1990. The consumer market, on the other hand, will increase from $7.8
billion to $108 billion in the same period. A 'middleman' in the B2B market,
known as "infomediaries" is predicted to become the fastest growing and
most profitable business model in the Internet area over the next 3 to
5 years, according to San Francisco-based tech-focused investment firm
Volpe Brown Whelan. Infomediaries employ a variety of mechanisms to generate
transaction fees for their clients, including: auctions, matching buyers
and sellers through request for proposals / quotation services, and direct
sales of merchandise.
Another option is
available for the business that is interested in placing its products
/ services online, without great expense or the worry about day-to-day
management and operations of the web site. Cybermalls are appearing with
increased frequency on the Internet, whereby a number of companies' products
and services are featured by means of a "mall environment" with all types
of consumer goods for sale, from cakes and wines to computers and motor
vehicles.
In conjunction with
the increase of E-commerce utilization the practise of using "digital
wallets" (E- wallet) has been stepped up. An E-wallet is a portable personal
profile that allows consumers store their ‘ship to’, ‘bill to’ and credit
card information in one secure place. Once this is accomplished, the consumer
will no longer have to re-enter this information at every site where he
places orders - the digital wallet fills in the required information.
The use of digital wallet features will allow merchants to offer simple,
quick shopping for its consumer, will handle customer services, will allow
for predictive marketing to help target customers, will offer anonymous
customer profiles with detailed demographic and behaviour information.
It is evident that
e-commerce can mean a variety of things to different people. As identified
in the introduction, it can be retail stores selling to customers through
the Internet; it can be the Town residents purchasing a permit through
the Internet.
Another element in
e-commerce development will be the need to bring the Town’s municipal
services on-line and provide citizens the opportunity to find out what
is going on in the community at any time, register children for activities,
or pay a ticket, a tax bill, etc. Connect Ontario, a new provincial program
whose mandate is to develop 50 Smart Communities within the next 5 years
in Ontario, Canada, is allocating funding for community ‘portals’ which
would place all community resources through one façade on the Internet.
All e-commerce services would therefore fit under one portal or one Internet
web page and the Connect Ontario program could cover some of the developmental
costs.
Digital Library
NEC Corporation has
developed the first world’s network-based virtual library called the Universal
Digital Library. It utilizes ‘walk-around’ and ‘virtual agent’ technologies
to provide an advanced three-dimensional graphical interface that almost
convinces users they are browsing through a real library. While the ‘walk-around’
technology gives users the ability to roam through the Library (user looks
at the screen an the 3D effect makes him/her feel as if they are walking
through it in real life), ‘virtual agent’ technology lets users interact
with an animated virtual librarian for information, such as directions
inside the library, or the location of a book. Many countries currently
have plans for the introduction of Global Information Infrastructure (GII)
and Fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) to construct the high-speed networks necessary
for such multimedia services. A digital library is one of the developments
most widely expected to take advantage of such capacity.’ (25)
Entertainment & quality of life
Television will change,
with several hundred channels, the ability to receive any video a person
wants at any time, and the ability for anyone to make a movie cheaply
and distribute it over the Internet. People will be looking for television/video
programs and games that suit their taste and needing higher bandwidth
to receive them. Australia is running soap operas cheaply over the Internet
filmed at a London office, Germany is opening a channel for companies
to use for pep talks with its employees.
Time Warner in Florida
hooked 4000 families to a service offering home shopping, movies on demand
and video games. The video-on-demand has not proven itself and has been
very expensive to deliver. The near-video-on-demand (subscribers call
in to order a movie and it is sent to the set within a specified timeframe)
offered by digital satellite providers have proven to be a rough-and-ready
way of persuading viewers to spend more on movies without requiring the
investment required by truly interactive television (fibre-to-the-home).
Once the costs decrease, video-on-demand will become more marketable.
In the meantime, other
services such as those requiring interactivity, will become popular and
require higher bandwidth. For example, children will be able to watch
adventure stories and change the plot by switching channels. Television
games that allow groups of subscribers on different parts of the network
to play against each other will become more popular and require higher
bandwidth. Programmers are delivering high-immersion, interactive games
in which players show up as video rendered versions of themselves inside
computer-generated environment. The first commercial example of this new
immersion technology, sometimes called ‘Video as Input’ (VAI) has been
launched. A computer equipped with special software interprets signals
from the video camera and tracks the player’s image (the player’s face
is pasted on the action figure). Combined with high speed Internet, the
technology could have significant applications in education, health, and
business.(26)
Already, this technology is being used in hospitals to enable sick children
to attend school. The child controls a robot located in the classroom
from his/her hospital room. The child’s face is broadcasted on the robot’s
face and the child is able to see and hear what is going on in his/her
classroom, and control the robot to raise a hand to ask a question, or
turn the robot’s body parts to focus in another area of the classroom.
Always Independent
Films (www.alwaysif.com)
offers over 375 movies and trailers. It is one of at least two dozen sites
showing films as filmmakers flock to what could be a means of bypassing
Hollywood and reaching viewers directly.
Home-based services
will include monitoring of the housebound sick or elderly, and repair
of machinery without a home visit (repairs are done from a computer located
in another Town or country). Home monitoring services will provide a higher
level of security monitoring for the home. All distance monitoring will
become available when homes have a permanently open telephone line or
a computer with a camera attached online. This will allow people to keep
in touch with an elderly person located anywhere on earth, avoid the costly
time required to wait for a repairperson, and allow the homeowner to check
on his/her home while abroad.
Advances in digital
video technology have made it possible for professionals and amateurs
to produce slick, sophisticated videos on their desktop computers. Five
years ago, this technology for videotape editing would cost a station
over $1 million, now, a broadcast-quality PC based editing suite can be
set up in the home for less than $30,000. In the very near future, some
individuals will provide spot news to a neighbourhood or a whole city.
Shoot the images from a camcorder, edit them on a desktop computer, upload
them to a server connected to fibre optics and a new TV station is running
on a budget of less than $3,000. (27)
EXPERIENCE OF OTHER FIBRE-TO-THE-HOME PROJECTS
There are numerous
communities around the world that have undertaken “Fibre-to-the-home”
initiatives with the purpose of creating infrastructures that will ensure
their citizens have the technological tools to thrive in a society that
is continuously becoming more reliant on computers and the Internet. These
communities include the likes of Canberra, Australia; Palo Alto and Davis,
California; and Ennis, Ireland. Many other communities in the USA are
implementing this type of initiative. Sweden is attempting this feat for
the entire country!
Communities, that
have already installed some type of community network, have the potential
of providing a wealth of information for those who wish to follow. For
instance, by looking at the previously mentioned communities, project
managers will gain some insight into their origins, services provided,
and also be the recipient of any advice or lessons that experience has
provided.
Origins of FTTH projects
There appear to be
two main scenarios for project start-up:
- A major utility
company is interested in a “test bed” for FTTH technology and approaches
a community or number of communities.
- A community realizes
that it needs to upgrade its current telecommunications infrastructure
and therefore decides to install one that will stand the test of time
and provide services that will be in demand in the future.
All four of the communities
mentioned earlier fall under these two scenarios. For example, in the
cases of both Ennis and Canberra, a major utility provider was looking
for a community in which to test its technology.
In Canberra, ACTEW,
the regional hydro company, was looking for an opportunity to break into
the communications industry and the community seemed like the perfect
fit as they previously had no infrastructure that could sustain “Smart
Community” applications because the city’s lay out made building the infrastructure
too difficult. As technology developed and became less expensive, Canberra
became the obvious choice, as its citizens are very technology oriented.
In Ennis, it was the
telephone company that was interested in a scenario where a community
would become the “most wired” community in Ireland. The telephone company
held a contest in which any community having a population between 5,000
and 30,000 could enter. The phone company would then select the winning
community and consequently allocate the equivalent of $30 million Canadian
to “wire” the winner. Ennis entered and made an approach focused on people,
not technology. The committee which represented the town stressed how
the technology would increase the standard of living in this isolated
rural community where many of the residents previously had no telephones.
As a result, the town won the competition and is now Ireland’s only “Information
Age” community. The funding was allocated for infrastructure build-up
and several years of operational funding.
The story of the Davis
Community Network is similar. The University of California, and the Davis
and the California State Departments of Transportation, were interested
in the development of mobility through the electronic highway. The goal
was to create a test bed community network in Davis that could support
telework, tele-shopping, e-learning, and telemedicine. The project team
was especially interested in the use of multimedia and video conferencing
as a new transportation mode that would see people work and shop without
having to leave Davis.
Palo Alto realized
that it would need a new communications infrastructure in order to stay
competitive and up to date with other California communities. The City,
therefore, decided to pursue a “Smart Community” initiative. City council
approved a motion to install a fibre optic infrastructure. The community
then had the local electric utility build and manage the infrastructure.
It is important to
note that although not all projects originated the same way, each community
had a major partner (usually some sort of utility or service provider)
to build the infrastructure and cover some if not all of the associated
costs.
Services Offered
The most common and
immediate services offered by “Smart Communities” include advanced telephone
services (e.g. voice mail, caller id, etc.) and high-speed Internet. The
reason that these services are readily accessible upon the infrastructure
completion is that they require little or no outside partners. The owner
of the infrastructure, whether it is the community or utility company,
essentially becomes the Internet service provider by virtue of owning
the lines.
In communities such
as Ennis, Ireland, where many of citizens did not have basic telephone
applications, the first priority was to install and promote the use of
more advanced telephone and computer applications. Computers were installed
in every home and school, and basic training was provided. The people
of Ennis currently use their technology to:
- Keep abreast of
community events and activities via a web page.
- Use the Internet
as an educational tool.
- Promote the community
and its attractions over the Internet.
- Access ‘digital’
newspapers.
- Promote business
products and services.
Now that the citizens
are familiar and comfortable with the technology, the community is seeking
partners and applications in the areas of tele-working, tele-education,
and tele-medicine.
In other communities
such as Canberra, Australia; Palo Alto, and Davis, California there was
already wide spread Internet and computer use. In these communities, the
citizens were able to install more sophisticated applications at a faster
pace. Examples of these more advanced applications and services include:
- Residents of Davis
purchased their audio and video equipment by looking at an online catalogue
from a store in a neighbouring community.
- Teachers use the
system to post homework assignments, provide online educational materials,
and communicate with parents.
- Students who are
ill can also keep up-to-date with their studies with the Internet.
- People can enroll
and take distance education courses from Colleges and Universities.
- Citizens can obtain
permits and applications from city hall via the Internet thus reducing
congestion and waiting time.
- Some citizens
in Palo Alto work from their homes using the Internet and telephone
lines (tele-working).
- Citizens keep
abreast of community events and activities from a community website.
- People of the
communities obtain medical information and advice from health-care providers
by using the Internet.
Communities are continuously
working to develop more partners in industry, healthcare, and education
in order to ensure their citizens are able to receive the best resources
possible without having to leave the community.
Whether all applications
are immediately accessible or not, it is the ultimate goal of each and
every “Smart Community” to make the most beneficial of the applications
feasible in the near future. It is these applications (tele-medicine,
tele-education, tele-working, tele-shopping), which will, in fact, allow
the community to prosper and thrive in the global economy.
Lessons Learned
The infrastructure,
costing, partnerships, and other issues can all be determined with the
aid of consultants and engineers. Insights on how to ensure favourable
community response and usage rates, however, are more easily obtained
through the experience of others.
Many of the following
points seem obvious; however, when the main concern of the City is to
develop partnerships and install the infrastructure, many of these ‘obvious’
points may be overlooked. It is important to remember at all times that
the citizens of the community are the people who will determine the success
of the project. The following are recommendations made by other project
leaders:
- For a community
to be transformed, the project must provide effective tools to solve
the community’s problems and meet its needs.
- The success of
the initiative lies in the enthusiasm and involvement of its citizens
(keep them excited, use contests, demonstrations, etc.).
- Partnerships must
be developed in order to coordinate training and consulting support
for citizens (they must know how to use the technology, and realize
its potential).
- People must be
informed of what they need to do to make the project and its impact
as positive as possible.
- City ownership
of the infrastructure seems to be attractive to residents, but can be
daunting for the City staff and Council (adequately educate City staff
and representatives).
- At times, progress
may seem slow, people may not be taking up initiatives as quickly as
you would like. Remember, the citizens have other things in their lives
besides the “Smart Community” agenda.
By taking the lessons
learned from Davis, Palo Alto, Ennis, and Canberra, Iroquois Falls is
increasing its chance of a smooth transition into the technological age.
PATTERNS OF ADOPTION
The way people adopt
new technologies will be influenced by culture, convenience, and cost.
Culture: If people
are used to doing things one way, they may be slow to change, especially
if they are over 65. Younger people are more adaptable to change and can
become a force to help those more wary by providing their skills and knowledge
and training older users of the technology.
Convenience: The more
effort it takes to master the technology, the slower and more limited
its diffusion will be. The personal computer is already a deterrent to
utilization. The project will need to find ways to make information easy
to access and use.
Cost: The Internet
has flourished since costs have declined. Already, some residents are
asking if there will be a subsidy toward the purchase of new computers
and equipment. Although many residents are willing to pay more for high-level
services, they are concerned over keeping costs low.
Market Demand
The main question
in introducing new technology is ‘do people want it and are they willing
to pay for it’. To this end, a survey of 600 residents of the Town of
Iroquois Falls, Ontario, Canada was performed to identify the interest
of residents in high bandwidth and their willingness to pay for the service.
Iroquois Falls is a small remote community of over 5000 people, dependent
on the forestry industry, and potentially needing the geographic barrier-free
opportunities offered by telecommunications and the Internet.
Survey background:
A stratified random
sample of 600 citizens based on the following distribution:
- 75 distributed
to the business community, handed in the downtown core and picked-up
later by the distributor;
- 75 distributed
in three residential areas known to have a fair number of elderly citizens.
Students were available to answer questions, however, most dropped the
survey and returned to pick it up later in the day;
- 200 distributed
at the site of the community’s largest employer, handed to employees
when they reported to work (600 total possible employees). The return
rate was the worst from this group;
- 50 distributed
at community meetings;
- 200 distributed
to all high school students to bring home for completion. The return
rate was also not very good with this group.
The objective was
to obtain only one survey per household, and ensure a response from youth,
seniors, workers, and the business community. Any duplicate surveys were
eliminated based on the residence address, telephone number and name similarity.
At the time of this report, 150 surveys, or 25% of the sample, had been
received and entered onto a database. This is not an ‘ideal’ and ‘reliable’
survey given the distribution and return rate, however, the preliminary
information retrieved may indicate some trends and topics for future study.
A smaller second survey
of 100 residents was performed during a community meeting with 100% return
rate but there were large variations in some of the findings when compared
with the first larger survey. The attendees were asked three questions:
- How many had a
computer?
- How many were
on the Internet?
- How many were
interested in getting on the Internet?
Results of survey
#2:
Homes with computers:
67%. This compared to 80% on the first/larger survey.
Homes on the Internet: 44%. This compared to 65% on the first/larger survey.
Both surveys indicated a higher than national average number of citizens
with computers and on the Internet.
Survey Assumptions
(prior to administration):
- The average number
of households who own a computer will be smaller than the national average
based on the remoteness (lack of knowledge of what the Internet can
do) and the fact that the community is dependent on one industry (people
may not need or desire the Internet as much given the educational level,
and the greater interest in the outdoors);
- There will be a
smaller number of people with an internet account (based on a perceived
lack of service and interest in the Internet);
- People with an
Internet account will use mostly e-mail, surfing/research, games, and
shopping and not more advanced or newer features of the Internet;
- People will mostly
be interested in obtaining Internet-based services that are not currently
available in the community such as shopping, tele-health, and e-learning;
- The average computer
will be old, a full replacement will be required by the majority of
the population in order to access new broadband services;
- There will be
a large number of people with little ‘computer and Internet skills’,
wanting and needing training. Those needing less training, such as youth,
can help to train others needing more training.
- Given the fact
that the community has suffered severe downsizing, citizens would be
more interested in the business opportunities available on the Internet.
Results of survey
#1: In many instances, the results of the survey were surprising and
contrary to the assumptions made prior to its administration. This serves
to indicate that there are many false impressions and additional research
is required to better understand the consumer, his/her habits and the
utility made of the Internet, and the interest of consumers in its future
use.
- The top 10 applications
being used in the community demonstrate a relatively high level of
sophistication in using the Internet in smaller/remote communities.
The top 5 uses among respondents were: 75% use e-mail, 55% conduct research/surf,
55% use the internet for long distance telephony, 52% download music,
and 35-40% access magazines, directories, maps and other reading materials
on-line.
- The top 10 applications
most in demand demonstrate an interest in new ‘gadgets’ (videophones,
videoconferencing), an interest in e-learning, and tele-health.
Among the top 5 ways people want to use the Internet are: 75% want videophones,
66% want to access training seminars, 65% want to try videoconferencing,
60% want to be able to consult a physician on-line, and 59% want college
and university programs on-line.
- The top 10 application
least in demand demonstrate that people are least interested in using
the Internet to conduct business. Among the least favourite activities
were the opportunities relating to tele-work, home-based call centres
opportunities, starting a home business, publishing/writing on the Internet,
paying bills and access community services. This has an impact on economic
development opportunities afforded by the Internet, and may mean that
communities need more information and ‘good news’ stories about home-based
businesses and tele-work before these applications can become ‘in-demand’
in our communities.
- The technology
in homes is relatively up-to-date with approximately 60% of the population
who have up-to-date computers (less than 2 years old), and 65% have
modems and Internet access. Another 12% of respondents were prepared
to purchase a modem and Internet account, and 23% were not interested
at all. More than 60% of those who had a computer had purchased it between
1998 and 2000, therefore, computers were relatively new and many may
not need major upgrades in order to access the planned new broadband
services. However, respondents were reticent to investing in additional
gadgets with 55% indicating they were not interested in an Internet
camera, and 43% not interested in upgrading to include audio. This is
contradictory to their interest in videoconferencing, tele-health, e-learning,
and video-phones. It is possible that citizens will need an incentive
to purchase additional hardware probably due to the large layoffs that
have occurred in the community over the last year. Almost all of the
respondents had an IBM compatible computer.
- The knowledge
of the community was much higher than expected with 70-75% of respondents
having ‘good to excellent’ PC and Internet skills, and those with more
knowledge were more likely to want more training. Those with the
least knowledge were least likely to ask for training. This may point
to a need to find alternate ways of training people, new ways of attracting
people to training activities. Perhaps this could include one-on-one
sessions with younger people instead of classroom sessions to make training
activities less threatening. 16% of those responding indicated ‘poor’
PC/Internet skills (a scale was provided allowing respondents to measure
their skills against a defined standard), 38% of these indicated an
interest in additional training. 37% of respondents indicated ‘good’
PC/Internet skills, 44% of those had an interest in training. 35% of
respondents felt they had ‘excellent’ PC/Internet skills, 58% of these
wanted additional training. The more training provided to users, the
more demand for training. It should also be noted that the response
rate may be skewed with more people having good computer skills filling
out the survey, while those with less computer skills, choosing not
to respond.
Based on historical
lessons learned from marketplace experiences with the radio, TV, VCR,
computer and other technologies, John Carey provided the following important
points:
- People respond
to price. The introduction of new technology usually carries a high
price and early adopters are usually wealthy individuals, people with
an insatiable desire for the product/service, individuals who love electronic
gadgets, and business or schools who need the product. Early adopters
are often male with higher income, households with home offices, and
households with moderate or high income and children.
- Industry is often
looking for a ‘killer application’ before introducing a product. Although
telephone and cable companies may be looking for a magic bullet prior
to introducing a service, it is more often demonstrated that a confluence
of factors will bring demand for a product/service. For example, the
fact that consumers need the product to access jobs, the market, a medical
service, or more education. The need for a mix of uses will bring demand,
not necessarily one single ‘killer application’. This was true for cable
TV when national cable program distribution became easier through new
technology, new channels were created, and franchise awards were provided.
All of these factors together spurred demand for the service.
- Technology adoption
will follow several distinct steps and the adoption steps will change
over time, requiring a dynamic group able to respond to change. Once
the first step in done, reaching early adopters, the group introducing
the technology should try to anticipate the future mix of users and
the use they can make of the technology. This is difficult but required
to prepare for a shift in strategy. For example, the early adopters/first
users may use the technology to become teleworkers and in this case,
will need good download speeds to receive documents from head office.
The second generation users, on the other hand, may provide training
programs over the Internet, in this case requiring higher upload speeds
to send larger documents to students.
- The growth of
some technologies is linked to the purchase of other media. The replacement
cycle for existing media can provide an important way to introduce new
media. The introduction of the Smart Community project will increase
demand for computers, computer service, and a host of other products
such as computer tables, new telephones, new telecommunications connections,
etc. It will also encourage people to upgrade and add new components
such as modems, cameras, etc. There are at least four reasons for purchasing
a new model of an existing technology:
- To replace
an existing model that not longer works;
- To obtain
an additional unit of the technology;
- To upgrade
an existing model that works but does not have a desired feature
or is lower quality than the upgraded model;
- . As a byproduct
of another purchase, for example, purchasing a modem with a new
computer.
- Technologies fail
when they cannot be linked to a real consumer benefit. There are fads
and cyclical patters of adoption. It will be important to provide a
real service that consumers will keep using to avoid the initial period
of success followed by a sharp decline in use of a service or technology.
Some products are cyclical, popular for a time, then out-of-use for
another period of time, then again popular by some new generation equipment
or service. This was true of game consoles who experienced peaks and
dips in popularity. These cyclical patterns of adoption are not failures
but false starts.
- New services require
new equipment or service and will require a change in how people use
media and alter their existing habits. New services are therefore more
difficult to introduce and will take more time. Most communications
technologies in this century were introduced in the context of uncertain
demand (motion pictures, radio, phonographs, television). These are
called technology push (versus pull), and will fail if they cannot create
applications that people want. Entrepreneurs are more likely to bring
creativity to the process of generating ideas for applications that
people want. Other players such as municipalities and telecommunications
companies, are there to ensure that the technology is implemented and
to bring the resources to the project.
- Most users are
not interested in the black box. They want to know about the service.
The marketing efforts must be geared to their needs and avoid techno-language.
People will adopt technologies because they have:
- A strong need,
an unmet need in his/her life, a need that can be met at an acceptable
price (could include support work at home and multimedia education
services); b
- An insatiable
appetite for some content or service, includes gadget lovers who
will pay just about any price for the latest technology or people
who can’t get enough of movies, etc.
- Pain avoidance,
such as those who are experiencing pain in slow Internet access,
stock of popular movies in video-rental shops, and poor customer
service by existing broadband service providers. (28)
TECHNOLOGY
“In the short term,
home users will need Mbit/s if digital video is not required and 4-6 Mbit/s
including video. In the mid-term, more terminals are expected in the customer
premises, as today several TV set can be easily found inside a single
home. Tomorrow a number of digital appliances, connected to each other
via advanced home networks, will be very common. The per-home total capacity
is thus expected to increase to support the use of all these terminals,
and bandwidth of 15 to 60 Mbit/s is suggested.” (29)
There are a number
of possible solutions for building the community infrastructure:
- Fibre-to-the-home
(FTTH)
- Hybrid fibre solutions
(mixed with copper, coax)
- Wireless technologies
There is no single,
simple metric to compare these broadband technologies. Almost all of them
are capable of operating over a range of speeds, depending on how they
are actually implemented. The key to profitability for communities, may
be in adopting hybrid mixes of wireless, copper, and fibre services that
suit the geographical and economic constraints of the region. A conference
on telecommunications convergence sponsored by the University of Denver
found that many locations were using fibre loops, often without Sonet
multiplexing, in conjunction with wireless local loop and local multipoint
distribution services (LMDS) last mile access. (30)
There will also be
some technologies required by the home, schools, hospital, municipality,
and local businesses. The project may wish to buy some computers for homes
or subsidize a portion of its cost for residents; it may purchase some
equipment for schools and the hospital; it may subsidize a portion of
the cost for businesses. These are decisions that can be taken at the
business plan phase. For descriptions on technology, refer to Appendix
A.
Fibre Optics
Fibre technology is
the media that provides the highest bandwidth. It is resistant to electro-magnetic
interference, it is corrosion free, and it provides transportation for
data with minimal loss. Most of the network backbones are constructed
with fibre optics but the last mile connection to the home has not always
been feasible with fibre. The reason for the infeasibility is that the
multimedia business is not mature enough to prove that there is a need
for high bandwidth connections and fibre, however, this is changing very
quickly. Fibre, when life-line voice is required, needs a battery backup
system in case of power outage and it dramatically increases the cost.
Life-line voice line is a requirement for emergency services such as 911
(services that people cannot do without in case of power failure). If
fibre is not used as a life-line, or is being used as a second line option,
then there are many technologies available. Traditionally, fibre to home
has been delivered as a hybrid fibre-coax option (HFC) or passive optical
network (PON) because thses architectures carried life-line voice. But
for multimedia services, which are not considered life-line services,
there are many other options available that are more cost effective. For
example, direct Ethernet to the home is a possibility and such systems
can carry both video, data, and second voice. (31)
The obvious benefit
with optical fiber is its ability to transmit multiple channels of data
simultaneously at signifigantly greater speeds over longer distances.
It achieves this increase in performance with greater fidelity and without
the degredation associated with copper and coaxial cable. Fiber does not
increase infrastructure costs signifigantly. While laying any type of
cable is expensive because of labor and infrastructure costs, the additional
cost-per-foot of fiber over copper or coaxial becomes negligible to a
project's total costs. Communities and municipalities are finding that,
in anticipation of impending and future demands, and relative to the lifetime
of the network, it is cost effective to lay dark fiber alongside copper
lines while the trench is open. The physical properties of fiber also
offer distinct advantages. Fiber does not conduct electricity and is completely
impervious to all types of interference. In adddition, it will not corrode,
is unaffected by atmospheric conditions and presents no danger of sparking.
As far as security is concerned, fiber is nearly impossible to tap into,
yet is easily monitored for intervention.
Fibre-to-the-home
has been technically successful in more than three dozen field trials
and installations worldwide. Now it is becoming commercially viable, thanks
to recent advances in architecture and technologies. One of the new developments
by delephone companies named PON or passive optical network, has made
FTTH more commercially viable for telephone companies. This technology
is very limiting in delivering competitive multimedia services. PON is
lower bandwidth, distance limited, and ties the customer to the telephone
company architecture. PON can be a single fibre extending from an optical
transveiver at the service provider's location to an optical splitter
near a small group of homes. The splitter divides the light signals equally
among 16 or 32 output fibres (or homes), which then carry the signals
to the customers’ homes. Other factors making fibre-to-the-home less costly
include new lasers, optical components, fibre cables and digital integrated
circuits designed specifically for the application. (33)
The disadvantage with PON is that it can be expensive and it ties
the customer to the telephone company.
Distance is not as
important with fibre as it is with copper cables, because optical signals
lose very little power as they move through fibre. PONs works as well
in rural areas, where homes are widely separated, as they do in suburban
or urban settings. The most advanced PONs will employ wavelength-division
multiplexing, which assigns a unique wavelength, or colour of light for
each customer’s signal. (34)
“The only technology
that can rival the bandwidth cable and has the ability to provide the
same combination of digital TV, telephony and data connectivity is fibre
optic technology. It will boast data speeds of 100 times faster than any
competing technology… The recent innovative developments that have made
the deployment of fibre to the home within sight have been in passive
optical networks (PON), an optical system with no active electronics (also
known as dark fibre). In the past, connecting each home by running fibre
was expensive, but technology today allows for three fibres to be run
from the CO to an optical splitter that can then serve 32 homes. This
makes the deployment of fibre more cost effective. If you are deploying
into a new building or new area, laying fibre along side or in place of
copper, the installation is not too costly. If you have to deploy fibre
into an existing area already served by copper, or in rural area’s where
subscribers are a long distance from the CO, then fibre can be expensive.
The reason you should consider FTTH may lie in the explosive growth of
new and improved telecommunications services that are consuming more and
more bandwidth.” (35)
The second highly
innovative development, dark fibre, is the recent front-runner in the
implementation of fibre networks. "Selling dark fibre is like selling
customers a fifty-story building for the price of the first floor…if you
need more room, you add more lights and switches and move upstairs."(36)
The economics of purchasing fibre once you have obtained the right-of-ways
and paid for the construction costs is not very different whether you
are buying two fibres or a dozen. Metromedia is installing large quantities
of fibres and is finding that, surprisingly, their customers are coming
back very quickly for more. The cost of lighting up the fibre is also
decreasing very quickly. Fibre which would have been lit at a cost of
a DS3, at about $3000 per month, can be lit by an OC-12 (14 times faster
than a DS3), for $500 per month, and OC-12 is now old technology, surpassed
by OC-48, OC-192, and OC-768, dropping the future price of a DS3 at a
few bucks per month.
BellSouth is overlaying
existing copper with fibre in an Atlanta residential neighbourhood. The
trial utilizes asynchronous transfer mode passive optical networking (ATM
PON), which is believed to be the first use of the technology in North
America. In their configuration, there is a four-way splitter at the curb
and an eight-way splitter further up the network, allowing each optical
line terminal in the central office to be shared by up to 32 customers.
Lucent’s optical network termination unit will be placed within a customer’s
home to convert optical signals into high-speed Ethernet data for the
PC. The Oki analog optical networking unit will provide video signals
for a customer’s TV. BellSouth hopes to deliver 120 channels of digital
video, 70 channels of analog video, 31 channels of CD-quality audio, and
high-speed ADSL data service. Lucent is providing the optical access termination
unit, which uses high-speed Ethernet and is placed inside the home, while
Oki Electric is providing optical line terminals to convert video signals.
The ATM PON has the potential to deliver data service at 100 Mbps. Adding
electronics such as dense wavelength division multiplexing (DWDM) to the
network can increase capacity without digging up streets and laying additional
fibre. This becomes important in the future as demand increases. Despite
occasional fibre cuts, fibre tends to be maintenance free, while copper
can be subject to interference, noise, and other problems. Benefits: Fibre
costs are similar to medium-speed services at much higher speeds. Fibre
speeds are easily expandable by replacing inexpensive electronics. No
need to upgrade to another infrastructure. (37)
One of the technologies
that will certainly require more capacity than the current network structure
can provide is digital video. Today, a digital video channel can be compressed
to only require 1.5 to 6 Mbit/sec (depending on desired picture quality).
Progress in the development of HDTV (high definition television) will
require compressed bit rates for HDTV of 20 Mbit/s. A FTTH network could
deliver 5 to 10 limited high-definition programs simultaneously with other
services. This means that several members of the family could be viewing
different programs/movies at the same time. As demand rises in the next
10-15 years, FTTH may be the best and only technology that can provide
higher transfer rates and the only technology with low upgrading costs.
(38)
In terms of customer
needs or installations in the home, the customer installs an Ethernet
card into their computer instead of a modem and simply plugs that computer
into one of the Ethernet jacks that will be installed in their home. The
customer will need to learn their IP address and some of their configurations
to connect to the network. One of the problems with pure fibre installations
is that it only accepts digital signal. Any equipment broadcasting in
analog will not work. This is why some people feel that hybrid systems
may allow customers to slowly switch their home equipment toward digital
technology.
Hybrid Technologies, Fibre-Copper, Coax
Copper is the technology
used by telephone companies. Coax is another copper technology used by
cable companies. Telephone and cable companies are now using hybrid fibre-copper
and fibre-coax solutions to bring higher speeds to their networks, decrease
their operating costs, and allow for future growth in their industry.
Hybrid systems are
economical because they share the cost of the fibre and electronics among
all subscribers in the group, who can number in the hundreds. The transmission
rates, however, are lower than those of fibre-to-the-home, because the
final metallic connections act as bottlenecks. (39)
Copper wires, installed
in more than 600 million phone lines worldwide, provide high-quality,
dependable voice services and more technology is being invented and installed
to use this valuable resource. The cost of changing all this technology
is enormous, providing an incentive for companies to find ways to boost
the capacity and copper wires. Telephone companies introduced ISDN (integrated
services digital network), providing 64-128 kbps services, but it was
marginally more useful than conventional modems. Later on, T-1 was introduced
providing 1.5 Mbps but the price was more than people wanted to pay for
data access. One new technology showing promise is DSL or digital subscriber
line. DSL can bring a 50-fold increase in the speed to millions of modem
users by introducing a new kind of switch at the central office of the
telephone company. There are a number of variations on DSL technologies
(ADSL, XDSL, HDSL, etc.) that hinges on the speed that can be offered,
or whether the speed is offered two way or symmetric (same speeds for
uploading and downloading), or offered asymmetric (higher speeds for downloading,
lower speeds for uploading). Asymmetric digital subscriber line (ADSL),
for example, would be capable of delivering 3-4 Mbps to the home and a
fraction of this speed back from the home. ADSL is one answer for voice
and data, but could not carry television.
One of the principle
advantages of DSL technology is that the signal is not shared with other
users such as cable television networks who share the signal (like a giant
party line) among users. This makes it more difficult for people to listen
in on your transmissions and makes the telephone wires more secure. Two
of the problems with DSL technology is that a home must be located within
a few kilometres of the central office to use the technology, and the
technology is sometimes seen as limiting and slowing down the deployment
of broadband.
The backbone networks
for DSL carry composite signals for a few hundred consumers at 155 Mbps
and up, a television channel has an effective throughput of about 24 Mbps,
greatly limiting its effectiveness under heavy use by hundreds of cable
modems.
The cable companies
have used hybrid fibre-coax to improve their television signal while making
it possible to offer two-way Internet and telephone traffic. To access
the Internet, home-owners must obtain a cable modem, a device that attaches
to the cable like a TV converter but decodes and manipulates data rather
than television signal. The capacity of hybrid fibre-coax is up to10-30
Mbps to the home. The actual speed or data rate achieved in each home
depends on how many users are sharing the channel at any given time. Cable
modems have a roughly two-year head start on DSL technology.(40)
Cable companies have been able to beat-out prices offered by telephone
companies in the past, while offering larger bandwidth.
NTT in Japan is using
fibre to the cub and conventional copper to the home in the ‘pi System’
hoping that this project will be a first step toward full fibre-to-the-home.
NTT can save costs by installing optical fibre cables that have longer
life and are less costly compared with copper wires, which might be replaced
after 11 years. (41)
Wireless Technologies
There are a variety
of technologies using different frequencies, among them are:
- Satellite
- LMDS, MCS, MDS,
MMDS, ITFS
- Microwave
The difference between
various wireless alternatives is often the frequency on which it operates
and the height and distance of the equipment. A fixed wireless carrier
creates a data network that operates over MDS, MMDS, or ITFS frequencies.
Some wireless carriers are operating in large, previously unallocated
expanse of the electromagnetic spectrum and can therefore achieve much
higher bandwidth.(42)
Satellite-based service
is the most advanced and the most risky from a technical and investment
perspective. A satellite system such as Iridium's orbiter would communicate
directly with the subscriber and the user would access the data via a
small dish antenna. Geosynchronous satellites are located at exactly the
right height (36,000 km) above the earth to orbit at the same rate as
the earth so that satellite dishes receiving TV signals don't have to
move to track the satellite. The drawback is that there is about a quarter-second
delay in sending a signal up and back which degrades many forms of data
transmission. Low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellites are located below 2,000
km altitude from the earth and a remote unit at one residence can talk
to another unit somewhere else by sending data up to whichever satellite
happens to be overhead at the moment. It means lower radio transmission
power so the home needs only a small, unobtrusive antenna and eliminates
the delay in signals. The cost of putting a LEO satellite system is high
because dozens of satellites have to be launched to cover the earth. The
LEO voice system is up, as in Motorola's Iridium configuration, but it
is too expensive for data systems. (43)
Satellite systems
concentrate in video/TV and up/downstream Internet. You can put 1-2 Mbps
using spoofing, caching, and pre-fetching on a satellite link. Satellite
will never compete with fibre for long haul, it is a last mile technology
and used as a fill-in until fibre is available.
Wireless systems for
data tend to be earth-bound systems, such as cellular or LMDS. Cellular-based
systems offer modest data rates of 10-50 kbps up to 1 Mbps. Other systems
with much higher bandwidth have antennas that can be installed on telephone
poles but they can be expensive with the need for several base stations.
LMDS can offer high bandwidth rates, however, because radio waves travel
only in straight lines, they can be blocked by buildings, obstacles, foliage,
and even moisture.
Wireless local loop
offers a cheap alternative to building a local telephone network. A small
fixed radio antenna installed in a house or office receives and transmits
calls through a transmitter. In the home environment, an antenna and transceiver
at the home receives the incoming data signal and transmits it over in-home
coaxial cable lines to a broadband modem. The modem connects to an Ethernet
card in the PC or other appliance. In the office environment, an antenna
and transceiver receives the incoming data signal and transmits it over
coaxial cable lines to the broadband modem which interfaces with a local
area network (LAN) through an Ethernet hub, switch, or router, providing
access to multiple users.(44)
This system is also useful for rural communities and can be merged with
another cable or telephone system to offer an hybrid solution for remote
areas. Many wireless systems utilize a technique called asynchronous transfer
mode (ATM), used extensively in wide-area-networks and which allows a
mixture of data to be sent at the same time, allowing a high quality voice
service to run concurrently with Internet, other data and video applications.
Local Multipoint Distribution
Services (LMDS), called LMCS in Canada, can deliver speeds of up to 155
Mbps and support voice connections, Internet, videoconferencing, interactive
gaming, video streaming and other high speed data applications. It can
be deployed quickly and relatively inexpensively as well as fill gaps
in geographical coverage. LMDS cells cover geographic areas typically
from 2-5 kilometers in radius. Wireless systems can create a host of problems
depending on line of sight (need good roof tops), and sometimes weather.
(45)
Bandwidth limits and environmental issues such as weather have prevented
wireless services from providing high quality Internet and video connections
in the past, but the research and development of wireless product is proceeding
at breakneck speed and many current problems will be resolved very quickly.
Capital Telecom in Ghana is installing a wireless local-loop system for
50,000 subscribers and many similar projects are providing an excellent
proving ground for the technology.
MMDS was historically
used for entertainment purposes, 1 way communication downstream. MMDS
is not affected by weather, and has a range of approximately 35 miles.
They broadcast at 198 Mhz of spectrum and 2.5 Ghz band, and can be deployed
anywhere. MMDS 2-way technology is being being deployed, mostly by Wordcom/Sprint.
MMDS can achieve 10-30 Mbps. Trees are still a problem but new technology
is expected to resolve this problem. MMDS is a good technology for rural
areas, as it eliminates the need for 2nd line, and anyone within 35 miles
that can see the tower can get service. It is not clear how many customers
can be serviced with 1 cell. Companies are using a sector & cellular approach
to design by placing a smaller cellular cell with lower towers within
the 35 mile radius of the larger cell/tower to catch more customers in
a larger geographical area. Premise equipment needed at the customer's
residence are coax, Ethernet, modem, and transceiver at an approximate
cost of US$700-$900 per home including installation fees, but the price
is expected to go down to $300-$500 in the short term. Infrastructure
costs includes towers and equipment at $500-$2000 per square mile radius
depending on whether the community needs cellular service as part of the
cell.
Cisco Systems has
developed a fixed, non-mobile wireless communications system for high-speed
transmission of data over MMDS frequency band and says consumers will
be able to buy broadband wireless transceivers for $500. (46)
The Communications
Research Council (CRC) and several private and public sector partners
are testing a new wireless technology called BMW in Sudbury. The tests
are expected to be completed in 2001 and would provide a wireless local
loop system.
Several wireless providers
have applied for an MCS license from the CRTC. Many companies are interested
in the high-density areas of Canada (Toronto, Vancouver, Montreal). One
of the contenders, Orbit, would be interested in providing services to
smaller communities such as those in Northern Ontario. Their technology
could offer 10 Mbit/s, 2-way, anywhere in North America. They would use
AT&T backbone in Canada and MCI in the USA with a microwave or satellite
transmission to a gateway. The price of wireless is low, at an estimated
$35/month for residential services and $250/month for schools. There would
be no long distance fees and up to 3 computers in each home could be connected
to the wireless system.
PRICING
Pricing issues will
be dependent on the financing of the project, the payback period, government
involvement, and the cost of the technology (installation and operational
costs). In the meantime, the project can take examples of pricing from
other projects:
Palo Alto: Residents
were originally going to pay a fibre installation cost of US$1200, plus
a monthly usage fee of US$45 per month for 10 Mbps access and US$100 per
month for 100 Mbps access.(47)
Later in the project, the fibre installation fee was waved. Residents
will only pay the monthly cost.
Sierra Pacific: Along
with Hewlett Packard and Oracle, will offer in Nevada, 10 Mbps access
for US$13.95/month.
Cost
of Technology
Component Cost per Connection
Copper $200-$2000
Fixed Wireless $500
Coaxial cable $500
Fibre to curb $1050 upward
Fibre to heom $2000 upward
(48)
According to a study
performed by Bellcore in early 1996, the gap of per subscriber-installed
cost (for FTTH) had shrunk to $230 in narrowband access and to $480 in
broadband access. The two largest cost components now are electronics
(nearly 40%) and labour (about 30%). According to a number of studies,
the first cost of a two-way HFC broadband access network is $1125 per
subscriber. The installed cost of a FTTC broadband network is estimated
around $1000 to $1500 per subscriber for a telephone company, and the
installed first cost of FTTH per subscriber ranges from $1500 to $3000.
In the case of FTTH, the final cost of the per-subscriber access depend
much on system architecture, functionality, and demand assumptions. Operational
costs include electrical powering of the network, maintenance expenses
and expenses of connecting and disconnecting services. Optical networks
power consumption is considerably less than that of conventional coaxial
or twisted pairs due to the nature of an all-dielectric network. The maintenance
costs are very low since an all-plastic network is corrosion free whereas
metallic cables suffer from this issue. (49)
Operational cost savings
of FTTH per subscriber when compared to FTTC or HTC over 20 years : (50)
Electrical Powering $200
Metallic Drop Maintenance $200
Other Maintenance $100
Service Provisioning $ 50
If we relax the constraint
on the payback, shifting the target to 8 years, a good combination of
environmental conditions and effective installation techniques enables
a $700 (CAN equivalent) installation cost per user (according to a European
project estimate), a yearly revenue lower than $270 (CAN equivalent) per
user is sufficient to justify the investment. If we look at the residential
market, the FTTH architecture can be chosen taking into account its evolutionary
potential for new services. A telephony centered service offering would
favour other more conventional, and cheaper, solutions. In conclusion,
today FTTH architectures can be economically deployed in selected areas,
where users’ willingness to pay is matched with limited deployment cost,
thanks to specific environment or exploitation of new installation techniques.
A targeted deployment, a phased installation and longer than average local
loops can further improve the economic viability of the all-optical access
network. (51)
Again, there are no
clear metrics to compare technologies. Factors such as life cycle, flexibility,
expandability, and maintenance costs need to taken into consideration.
REGULATIONS
In Canada and the
USA, there are various regulations that encourage or discourage competition
and regulate what a community can do. Prior to starting a project, a community
should communicate with the CRTC in Canada or the FCC in the USA to identify
the possible constraints. In Canada, “any Canadian public institution
- schools, hospitals, cities, universities, churches, etc. - can hand
their own cables on telephone poles. Lots of them are doing it. As a result,
there is already much fibre in Canada’s neighbourhoods, close enough to
where people live that fibre to the home will soon be common.” (52)
FINANCING
The project financing
has two stages:
- Financing a business
Plan
- Financing the
implementation
Financing a business plan:
The business plan
will include:
- The architectural/engineering
report
- The applications
report including the details of the activities that will be undertaken
on the network including the partnerships for e-learning, tele-health,
e-commerce and more
- The governance,
ownership, human resource, marketing plan, financial plan, and action
plan report
The options for financing
the business plan are:
- Project partners:
telephone companies, cable companies, IT sector, Colleges and Universities,
hospitals, municipalities, have a stake in this project and may be willing
to make a contribution to the business plan.
- Government sources:
several branches of government have been supporting this type of initiative
especially when it can demonstrate an economic benefit to communities.
Financing the implementation:
The implementation
will take three phases:
- Educating the community:
pre-operational phase
- Installing the
network: operational phase
- Implementing the
programs: post-operational phase
Pre-operational phase:
Some form of ‘educator’
participation is required to set-up a network centre equipped with computers
linked to a high speed network to begin educating the community. In addition,
the community should develop a partnership with the media and begin a
campaign to explain the project through its various phases. Other partners
and agencies that stand to benefit from the project should be approached
to help finance this phase.
Operational phase:
The ownership issues
must be resolved. If the private sector will have ownership (in part or
in full), it will need to contribute more heavily to the cost of the network.
The municipality may utilize government funding to attract private sector
investors and ensure that the highest quality for maximum efficiency is
provided. Other private sector providers, such as those selling switches,
routers, and other forms of equipment, usually provide large discounts
of projects such as these, and can sometimes be convinced to make investments
(capital or operational) in a project. Government funding may also be
required for the customer-premise equipment (CPE), or the incentive funding
which may or may not be made available to each home. An example of public/private
partnership is the Algoma District Network (ADNet) in Sault Ste. Marie,
Ontario, Canada.
Post-operational
phase:
Once the network
is in place, there will be a need to fund a training centre to continue
educating the community, and staffing to continue finding investors and
projects to demonstrate on the network and managing the utilization of
the network.
APPENDIX ‘A’: Definitions and Descriptions
High Speed DSL
or HDSL: offers a symmetric speed of 1,544 Kbps in both directions
just like a T1 line but less expensive than T1 lines. Beyond 3 miles of
central office (or 5 km), this technology is technically challenging.
Cost to the consumer is usually between US$50 to $70 per month.
The final step in
the evolution of the public telephone network will be the integration
of voice, high-speed data transmission, and video into a single network.
This is referred to as a ‘broadband network’ because of its ability to
deliver services that require a broad range of communication frequencies
or bands. Broadband applications include television programming, picture
phones, high-quality colour graphics, and high-resolution medical images.
(1)
Symmetric DSL
or SDSL: offers a symmetric speed of 768 Kbps in both directions.
ISDN DSL or
IDSL: offers a symmetric speed of 128 Kbps in both direction just
like an ISDN line but cheaper than ISDN.
Asymmetric DSL
or ADSL: offer an asymmetric speed of 192 to 8,192 Kbps (8.2 Mbps)
in the downstream direction and 64 to 1,088 Kbps (1.1 Mbps) in the upstream
direction. This has been popular with the Internet since download speeds
are more important than upload speeds. PTCI/EagleNet in the US offered
this technology called JETNET ADSL for US$40.95 per month for residential
service and US$99.95 per month for business rates. As part of the introductory
offer, they included the necessary hardware and installation free of charge
(value of $500). Because of distance limitation of the ADSL technology,
they were unable to provide the service to customers more than 18,000
feet (3.4 miles) from the central office.
G.lite DSL or
Splitterless DSL: offers an asymmetric speed of 192 to 1,544 Kbps
in the downstream direction and 64 to 512 Kpbs in the upstream direction.
Very high speed
DSL or VDSL: offer asymmetric or symmetric speed of up to 52,000
Kbps. This is sometimes used to replace fibre line to the service provider’s
fibre hub.
Cable modems:
technology requires significant upgrades to become bi-directional and
can provide speeds of 10,000 Kbps for multiple users in a neighbourhood
to 36 megabits per second. Cable users are also ‘always on’ like xDSL
connection. Although you get lightning-fast connections at the beginning,
the speed slows down as more neighbours sign on. If cable companies have
not invested in technology to provide bi-directional service, their downstream
direction speed is 10,000 Kbps, but upward speed is 64 to 128 Kbps. The
main problem is to ensure security of users and to curb abuse by neighbours
who use large amount of bandwidth by transferring large files or by running
web servers from their home.
Digital Broadcast
Satellite: technology is resold by phone companies and offers
two downstream speeds of 200 Kbps or 400 Kbps and upstream speeds of 64
Kbps or 128 Kbps. The downstream bandwidth is shared between multiple
users. This technology is popular among remote users who do not have access
to wireline broadband technologies such as DSL or cable modems.
Local Multipoint
Distribution Service or LMDS: wireless technology with varying
speeds depending on the number of cell sites and the capacity of each
cell site. The bandwidth is shared in both directions. Biggest challenge
is roof rights for installing microware receivers.
Fiber:
relies on light energy rather than electricity to communicate information.
They can carry the same kinds of signals as satellites with greater speed
and less distortion at less expense. Since the data is transmitted as
light waves instead of electrical pulses, they are immune to the electrical
interference that causes static and distortion in electronic systems.
Two types of fibre: single-mode and multi-mode. Single has a smaller core
and is less susceptible to dispersion of its light signal requiring fewer
amplifiers along a path but it is more difficult to terminate and therefore
not the best answer for local networks. Fibre uses optical amplifiers,
transmitters, and receivers. Dark fibre is fibre without the transmitters,
receivers, or associated electronics attached to them by CPAU, making
the fibre less expensive. The service provider is then free to attach
the voice, data, or video equipment of their choice to light the fibre
and transmit information between locations.
The following applications
need the following bandwidth:
- Analogue phone:
around 10 kilobits/second (kb/s)
- Digital videophones:
up to 100 kb/s
- Integrated video-conferencing,
full motion video: up to 1 megabit/second (Mb/s)
- Desktop video-conferencing:
up to 10 Mb/s
- Visualization:
up to 100 Mb/s
ENDNOTES
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